Original Post (From Current Risk Period Onwards):
Hello all,
It sure has been a lot busier in the Earth Changes lately, March brought several events including the Washington State landslide of March 22, powerful winter storms, some twisters, a cyclone near miss in Madagascar, California quakes among other things. Now April has begun with a bang, with a powerful Magnitude 8.2 Earthquake the night of April Fool's, April 1, striking Chile and being felt widely over Southern Peru. Tsunamis have happened, but no word yet on how severe they were. It seems the waves reached 6 feet in some areas. All this happens right before I could even get predictions out for the new month. Will April continue to "fool us"? The pages ahead might hold some keys to this matter, as April brings some unusual patterns in risk dates that will become the norm as we head deeper into 2014. Here goes April 2014 my friends:
April 5 - 18: Most Likely Scenario: This very long risk period could bring a Major Flood Event, possibly a longer-term river flood, likely as a result of prolonged rain or snow melt. Second Likely Scenario: There could be back-to-back Severe Weather and Tornado outbreaks during these two weeks, possibly leading to significant impacts and damages. The risk period is actually made of two strong risk periods (April 5-12 and April 14-18), which are bridged by a date I call the "grace period", being April 13. A single date sandwiched between two strong risk periods or dates will share the risk as well, extending the risk period. This is an unusual situation that for some reason becomes very prevalent in 2014. 3rd Likely Scenario: A powerful Earthquake, or Series of Earthquakes, with possibly significant impacts could take place during this long time-frame. The magnitude may be between 6.5 and 7.5, and is likeliest to occur on the following dates (The hotter-color dates being the riskiest): April 5, April 7-8, April 11-12, April 14-15, April 17-18. 4th Possible Scenario: A major South Indian or South Pacific Cyclone may stir up during these dates and cause major impacts. Main Areas to Watch: For the Weather Events: Keep and eye on the Central and Southern U.S. for possible tornado outbreaks, and Australia/Madagascar/Fiji for possible cyclones then. Watch any world area receiving lots of rain or snow for possible nasty floods in and around river basins. Watch out for floods in general during this long risk period. For the Earthquakes: Watch any world regions experiencing recent earthquake activity for more possibly strong tremors, like California and New Zealand for example. Significant Risk: The chance for natural disaster during this very lengthy period is 25%, with a 15% chance the disaster could turn out severe.
April 21 - 27: Most Likely Scenario: Yet another Bad Severe Weather outbreak seems likely to round out the last week of April, with possibly severe impacts. This year seems to want to follow in 2011's tornado footsteps. 2nd Likely Scenario: A Major Earthquake could strike during these dates, especially April 21, April 23-24, and April 27. The Magnitude could surpass 7.5 and even M 8.0. and leave behind lots of damage. 3rd Possible Scenario: A major South Indian or South Pacific Cyclone may stir up during these dates and cause major impacts. Main Areas to Watch: For the Weather Events: Keep and eye on the Central and Southern U.S. for possible tornado outbreaks, and Australia/Madagascar/Fiji for possible cyclones then. Watch any world area receiving lots of rain or snow for possible nasty floods in and around river basins. Watch out for floods in general during this somewhat long risk period. For the Earthquakes: Watch any world regions experiencing recent earthquake activity for more possibly strong tremors, like Chile and Indonesia for example. High Risk: The chance for natural disaster during this period is 30%, with a 20% chance the disaster could turn out severe.
April 30: Most Possible Scenario: We could be seeing a Tornado Outbreak on this day, possibly causing moderate impacts. Second Possible Scenario: A moderate Earthquake is possible on this date, and the Magnitude could range from 6.0 to 6.5. Main Areas to Watch: For the Weather Event: Keep and eye on the Central and Southern U.S. for this tornado outbreak. Watch any world area receiving lots of rain or snow for possible nasty floods and landslides. For the Earthquake: Watch any world regions experiencing recent earthquake activity for more possibly strong tremors, like china and Japan for example. Modest Risk: The chance for natural disaster during this single date is 10%.
The Month at a Glance
April 2014 seems to continue supporting the latest unnerving earthquake activity seen around the world since early March. These are some quite long risk periods in April 2014, and they are going to become even more predominant as we head into May, indicating that perhaps the beginning of a very large flood this year will start in April. This could be a river flood, like in the Mississippi or the Yangtze in China. Keep eyes on rivers this month! Also keep wary eyes on the atmosphere, as we could see some nasty tornadoes later on. Overall expect a busy April, with perhaps 2 Natural Disasters. One might come from an Earthquake and the other from the Weather, being especially either a Severe Weather outbreak or a Flood. 2014 is kicking into higher gear now through December it seems, with little respite in between.
That's the Forecast for April 2014
Hope y'all are getting ready for Easter no matter the Weather!
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UPDATE #1...4/13/14...@ 10:50 PM
Ever since the predictions were made nearly two weeks ago, there have been several important and interesting earth events thus far in April, and they have been mostly in the form of major earthquakes. Between the 10th and today, the 13th, there were several M 6.0+ earthquakes, including a 7.5 and 7.6 earlier today in the Solomons Islands region, and a destructive M 6.1 in Nicaragua followed by a 6.6. This risk seems to continue as we head into the second part of April and as we round out the current long April 5-18 period.
EARTHQUAKE WATCH: FOR 4/14 - 4/18
There is still more potential for large earthquakes in the next 4 days, where there could be another M 7.0+ or even 8.0 earthquake. If the event occurs near populated regions in an impactful way, the consequences could be significant.
Watch closely all areas that have been recently seeing major earthquake activity...This includes those of you in: The Solomons Islands, West Coast of South America from Peru to Argentina (Primarily Chile), Indonesia and Papua New Guinea, and even the Western U.S.
Earthquake Risk Map...Valid for 4/14/14 - 4/18/14:
UPDATE #2...4/27/14 @ 7:25 AM
DEVASTATING TORNADO OUTBREAK LIKELY SUNDAY APRIL 27
CENTRAL U.S. AT HIGHEST RISK
Hello folks, this day looks to be one of the worst dates for tornadoes this year, and perhaps since this same date back in 2011. Exactly 3 years later, we may see several large and powerful twisters touching down in states including Arkansas, Missouri and immediately surrounding states. Tornadoes of EF-3 and higher are a real possibility today, including EF-4 and EF-5 tornadoes. This date, falling at the tail end of the strongest risk period of April 2014, could deal a punishing blow to the American heartland. Please be aware in the coming hours as the day progresses and severe weather begins to erupt by the afternoon and evening. Have weather alert systems handy and your local news (including The Weather Channel since it is Sunday) on as much as possible today if you live in this area. The images below depict the risk area today, be aware if you are within or very near the shaded regions of the maps.
The above shaded regions have a risk for seeing a Damaging M 6.0+ Earthquake in the above dates, the areas with the oranges and reds are the hot spots to watch most closely!
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DEVASTATING TORNADO OUTBREAK LIKELY SUNDAY APRIL 27
CENTRAL U.S. AT HIGHEST RISK
Hello folks, this day looks to be one of the worst dates for tornadoes this year, and perhaps since this same date back in 2011. Exactly 3 years later, we may see several large and powerful twisters touching down in states including Arkansas, Missouri and immediately surrounding states. Tornadoes of EF-3 and higher are a real possibility today, including EF-4 and EF-5 tornadoes. This date, falling at the tail end of the strongest risk period of April 2014, could deal a punishing blow to the American heartland. Please be aware in the coming hours as the day progresses and severe weather begins to erupt by the afternoon and evening. Have weather alert systems handy and your local news (including The Weather Channel since it is Sunday) on as much as possible today if you live in this area. The images below depict the risk area today, be aware if you are within or very near the shaded regions of the maps.
