Monday, November 10, 2014

NOVEMBER 2014 Potentially Catastrophic Month for Natural Disasters

Hello all, this is the November Post copied from my original forum posts that were up in late October. This thread will feature updated quake and other disaster risk maps as the dates progress...

November 2014 is one truly doomy looking month my friends,
This is perhaps the most challenging prediction I've ever written, and want to have it up here a few days early so you all can be ready for what could be a historic month for Earth Changes. The numerology and astrology elements usually paint a clear picture, and this month puts these mystical practices to the test, looking almost erroneous in its intensity and setup. The manner in which November 2014 is composed leads me to believe we could be at the doorstep of the next peak activity cycle for natural disasters around the globe...something not seen in years! November is one of those months that can bring almost all kinds of natural disasters, including every weather disaster ranging from tropical cyclones and floods to blizzards and tornadoes. There is no natural event that is much likelier to happen than the other in this month, and this poses a challenge in predicting the type of natural disaster that may result during certain November risk periods. In addition to this folks, November 2014 turns out to be the most powerful looking month for natural disasters that I've ever come across since I began making predictions 10 years ago. With this month, I am not too confident regarding the EVENTS that are predicted for each period. Just be sure that when those risk dates come around, we might be seeing something huge and hearing a lot about it on the news. In any case my friends, here goes my best take on November 2014:

November 1-10:

Most Likely Scenario: A Powerful Cyclone or Typhoon could affect land areas in the North Indian Ocean or in the Western Pacific during this time, possibly leading to devastating flooding and heavy wind damage.
2nd Likely Scenario: There is also high risk for seeing a Severe Weather and Tornado outbreak, along with potentially Severe Flooding which could cause major impacts. This could be triggered by a strong Autumn cold front and warmer than normal temperatures ahead of the front, which is where the storms would form. Alternatively, these nasty weather conditions could be an indirect effect of a tropical cyclone or typhoon making landfall, and since this is scenario #1, the same region in question is bound to experience major floods and severe weather.
3rd Likely Scenario: A Powerful Earthquake could also happen during this period, especially on November 1, primarily during November 5-7, and also possible on November 10. The November 10 quake, should it occur, could be a strong aftershock of the main quake likeliest to occur around November 6. The magnitude of this possible main quake can be in the M 7.5-8.5 range. Such a quake will likely cause severe impacts. A Tsunami is possible with this earthquake scenario, and all coasts should be wary of these ominous dates.
High Risk: The chance for any natural disaster to strike during these dates is 40 percent with the risk for severe disaster being a 30 percent.

November 13-19:

Most Likely Scenario: A Major Tropical Cyclone event could well be in store for Mid-November, perhaps in the form of a very severe Typhoon or Cyclone that might form and strike land during this time. November is an infamous month for typhoons and cyclones, and the areas most at risk would be the Philippines and nearby islands as well as India/Bangladesh. Also, just to be on the safe side, watch the Caribbean and Southwest Atlantic during these same dates even though Hurricane Season is nearly done, a late-season November storm is not out of the question in such a vicious looking month like this year's.
2nd Likely Scenario: A Major Earthquake could also occur during this time, likely causing severe impacts. This event is more inclined to occur on November 13-14, even more likely on November 16, and then also probable on November 19. Just like in early November, The earthquake scenario could play out in two parts, with a main shock and then a powerful aftershock towards 11/19. The main earthquake could reach Magnitude 7.5-8.5 and also produce a destructive Tsunami.
3rd Possible Scenario: Severe Weather with possible Flash Floods and/or Mudslides and Landslides is also possible during this period, likely triggered by heavy rains. There is also a significant risk for Tornadoes during this time, which is known by meteorologists as the "second tornado season". Heavy Snow may occur further poleward during the same event.
High Risk: The chance for any natural disaster to strike during this powerful risk period is 40 percent, with a 30 percent chance that the disaster will be severe in nature.

November 23-26:

Most Likely Scenario: A Major Earthquake is likely during these days, especially November 23 and primarily November 25-26. The earthquake could surpass Magnitude 7.5, and even be in the M 8.0 - M 9.0 range, likely producing extremely severe impacts. This period is also particularly prone to having a major Tsunami event, which becomes likelier as the potential quake's magnitude increases.
2nd Possible Scenario: Another Major Typhoon, Cyclone, or even Major Hurricane could crash ashore somewhere along the Pacific, Indian or even Atlantic oceans, possibly inflicting severe damage with the potential to cause major damage and kill many. The Western Pacific and Indian Ocean are the main spots to watch for this kind of disaster this time of year. This is a risk-date period as mean as they come, which could make big news...we'll need to look out for any tropical storm forming just prior to this monstrous timeframe, because it could become a big player for these dates.
3rd Likely Scenario: In third place, there could be a significant Severe Weather and Tornado outbreak, along with Major Flooding which could lead to disaster as well. This could be triggered by a powerful Autumn cold front, which could also produce a severe snowstorm at the storm's north end, while destructive tornadoes strike further south.
4th Possible Scenario: A Volcanic Eruption could also take place during this time. It is possible for more than one natural disaster to strike during these dates, with perhaps several different events happening simultaneously. In a time like this, a significant Volcanic eruption cannot be ruled out from being thrown into the mix.
Extreme Risk: The chance for any natural disaster to strike during this time is 75 percent with the chance for the disaster to be severe being 50 percent.

November 30:

Most Possible Scenario: Severe Weather, possibly caused by a mixed storm system bringing both severe storms and winter-type weather, could occur during this time. Tornadoes and some flash flooding is not out of the question. (This much less risky period extends into December 1st).
2nd Possible Scenario: A Moderate Earthquake could occur, causing moderate impacts. The quake could be in the M 6.0 - 6.5 range and may also be an aftershock of the potentially major quake occurring between 11/23 - 11/26.
3rd Possible Scenario: These dates could also bring Flooding and Landslides/Mudslides possibly resulting from prolonged rains over a certain part of the globe, likely the areas already affected in the last two November 2014 risk periods.
Moderate Risk: The chance for one of these natural disasters to occur during these dates is 10 percent.

The Breakdown: Here follows the date-specific look at exactly when we could see what events and scenarios, along with the main areas to watch for each of the possible events! 

Cyclones, Typhoons and Tropical Storms: November 1-10, November 13-19, November 23-26, November 30. There could be tons of action in the tropics this month, mainly in the Indian Ocean and West Pacific. We could be seeing potentially dangerous storms this month in that part of the world. Main Areas to Watch: Keep an eye on the Western Pacific and North Indian Ocean. Also watch the East Pacific/ Western Atlantic/ Caribbean just in case late-season storms threaten land this month.

Earthquakes: November 1, November 5-7 November 10, November 13-14, November 16, November 19, November 23-26, November 30.

Earthquake magnitudes are likely to fall between M 7.5 and M 8.5 on the generally stronger dates in red and orange, with possibly severe impacts should earthquakes become the manifested event. Regardless, all dates mentioned have the potential for seeing Magnitude 6.0 & up quakes, which could all result in malevolent impacts. Watch out for Tsunamis in November 2014, this month is very prone to these events, which could be the result of M 8.0+ quakes. Main Areas to Watch: The Pacific Ring of Fire, mainly along the western coasts of the Americas as well as Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia and Indonesia/Polynesia. Also, watch the Caribbean region, the Middle East, Mediterranean, and parts of inland "Eurasia". Watch regions recently experiencing earthquake activity such as Central America, Alaska and Indonesia most closely.

Major Flooding Event: November 1-10, November 13-19, November 23-26, November 30.

A large-scale flood, likely being a widespread flooding disaster is a good possibility, especially during the early and middle portion of the month of November 2014. This could be a result of several weather factors ranging from severe weather to tropical cyclone activity. Main Areas to Watch: Watch closely regions experiencing severe rains during the dates above, as well as areas in the path of tropical storms and cyclones, which could lead to widespread floods. Also keep an eye on major rivers near areas experiencing extreme wet weather.

Severe Weather & Tornadoes: November 1-10, November 13-19, November 23-26, November 30.

Severe Weather and Tornadoes are real threats in November, most likely as a result of powerful Fall Season cold fronts. These same powerful Fall storms can evolve into major nor'easters and winter storms of epic proportions in the month of November. This may be especially true during the red colored dates above. Main Areas to Watch: Primarily the Central U.S./Midwest and the Southeast if the severe weather is triggered by fronts. Watch the Indian Ocean area and Southeast Asia if this event is being triggered by cyclone/typhoon land strikes. Western and Inland Europe, as well as Eastern North America will be the part of the world to watch closely for nor'easter type storms during these dates.

Winter Storms and Blizzards: November 13-19, November 23-26, November 30.

November can also bring nasty winter-type storms and raging blizzards, often accompanied by destructive winds and tides. These events are likeliest to occur in Late November as Winter sets in quickly in the Northern Hemisphere. Main Areas to Watch: Keep an eye on the colder parts of North America and Europe this November. Examples would be Canada, the Pacific Northwest Mountains, Great Lakes region, Northeast U.S., and Northern Interior Europe. Northwest Europe might be impacted by windstorms similar to these but with rain instead of snow. November can be a raw, cold and stormy month.

Flash Floods and Landslides: November 1-10, November 13-19, November 23-26, November 30.

This November could see Flash Flooding as well as landslides caused by tropical storm systems, and other heavy rain-making storms once again. Main Areas to Watch: Watch areas experiencing heavy rainfall, tropical storms, or severe weather, especially in and around hilly regions. Central America, the Indian Subcontinent, Southeast south America, and Southeast Asia are examples of prime locations to watch. Also keep a close eye on any other world regions about to experience a tropical storm, cyclone, or temperate storm system impact during these days, since heavy rains from these storms tend to cause killer mudslides and fast-moving floods.

Volcanic Eruptions: November 1, November 5-7, November 10, November 13-14, November 16, November 19, November 23-26, November 30.

This month has several powerful dates, which are important ones to watch closely regarding volcano disasters. These events could cause significant impacts this month as well.Main Areas to Watch: Monitor the world's most active volcanoes, such as those in Indonesia, Iceland, and Japan for example.

*The Month's Most Intense Risk Days overall are: November 1, November 5-7, November 9-10, November 13-14, November 16, November 18-19, November 23-24, and November 25-26.

The Month at a Glance:

November 2014 is one mean looking month. This could be a month filled with back-to-back natural disasters, and have events that could affect a large number of areas. The month has "only" 4 risk periods, but three of these are big-league risk periods normally seen once every other month! One of these risk periods even tops the scale of how risky a date period can be, hence yielding the "off the charts" title given to Nov 2014. With all this in perspective, November 2014 has true potential to become one of Earth's most devastating months in a long time. Taking a closer look, Early November has tremendous risk for weather disasters related to cyclones and flooding, with November 1-10 kicking off the month on a potentially rough start. Following this, we have the November 13-19 risk period which is as potent as the prior one, in which both have what I call "High Risk" dates embedded in them. Dates with this rank are very serious and tend to have disastrous outcomes 1 out of 3-4 times. Any typhoon or cyclone bearing down on land during this timeframe must be watched closely, because it will have all the potential to be catastrophic...much like what we saw last year during November 2013's Super Typhoon Haiyan in the Philippines, which killed 8,000 and left untold destruction. That one hit during a period that looked much like this one. High Risk dates, like the ones found within the November 1-10 and November 13-19 periods come around usually once or twice every month, yet we have 7 such dates within these two risk periods alone! The period that comes next, November 23-26, has 3 more High Risk days and even maxes out my risk scale, introducing the "Extreme Risk" level category. It is the highest possible risk level that can be attained in my prediction system, which on the scale from 1 to 11, is the 11. The central risk date of November 25 is the one responsible for the 11/11 rating, which translates as "disaster imminent". I cautiously say that this doesn't mean it is completely certain that we will see a disaster during these four dates, but chances are that something will happen then, and it may be big. Putting all this together, we can expect November 2014 to be tremendously active, with 3 to 6 natural disasters, of which 2-3 could be severe in nature. It is possible to see two major scale natural disasters within this same month, much like what happened in May of 2008. November 2014 is prone to both Earthquake/Tsunami disasters and all kinds of Weather-related natural disasters. Chances are this month will make history, and rival some of the most devastating months we've seen in living memory.

Well my friends, I certainly hope we fare well in this coming month, and that we can be ready in case Nature decides to throw multiple curve balls at us in November 2014. It could be a very long time until I write a prediction as dire as this one. In any case, lets hope for the best and be prepared for the worst! Hopefully we'll be giving thanks on Thanksgiving Day that the world makes it through such a dark month, unscathed.

That's my take on 11/2014! I will likely be posting several updates as the dates progress.

My November Youtube Video is up! here it is: http://youtu.be/ojPQRqjfw9c


***********UPDATE AS OF NOV 10************

EARTHQUAKE WARNING FOR 11/13/14: Western Americas, Middle East, Mediterranean and Southeast Asia/ Polynesia.
Possible M 7.0+ Quake


******************* UPDATE.....11/22/14.....11 AM *********************

EARTHQUAKE WARNING......11/23/14 - 11/26/14......MAJOR QUAKE LIKELY
WATCH EAST & SOUTHEAST ASIA THE CLOSEST

Japan and China have both already seen damaging Magnitude 6.0+ today 11/22...more could very well be on the way, and perhaps one could be over Magnitude 7.0.

M 7.5 - 9.5 not out of the question during this powerful time frame
Quake Map Valid for NOV 23 - 26, 2014:


...............................................................................................................


12/23/14 - 12/27/14


.......................................................................................................

1/24/15 - 1/27/15





will have new blog for 2015 later on, this is Earthquake warning map for Jan 24-27 2015, we may get a Magnitude 8.0+ during these days.

.................................................................................................................

2/24/15 - 2/27/17



EARTHQUAKE WATCH
FEB 24-27 2015

Peak Date: February 25th.
Magnitude 7.0 - 8.0 likely.